Looking for truly proven NFL betting tips can be quite hard for beginners. This is because everybody seems to already have their own NFL betting system that they swear by. And many bettors seem to be out and open with it, proclaiming it in their blogs, forums and just about everywhere in the internet in all caps. Don’t be fooled though, if these people were as good as they claim to be at predicting the outcome of the game, they wouldn't be spending their time in some forums shouting how great they are and spreading their betting system to everyone. What you need are some legitimate NFL betting tips that can help you become more successful and make better decisions when your money is on the line. I wrote this article just to inform bettors like me and potentially increase their income. You might or might not believe me, it’s up to you. But hopefully this will help you along the way.
Does Home Team Wins All The Time?
As you should know by now, the home team in the NFL automatically gets three points in their favor towards the spread. This is there to account for the home field advantage prevalent in the NFL. From the crowd, to playing in the friendly confines of your own stadium and other factors, playing at home certainly increases a team's chances of winnings.
But don't fall for the trap and automatically pick the home team who is favored by a few points. Consider that if the home team is favored by 1 point, if the teams were playing in the other team's stadium, that same team would by an underdog by 5 points. Some teams don't live up to expectations at home and falter under being the favorite. Other teams thrive on playing on the road and silencing the home team's crowd.
Therefore, you should worry less about home and away and more about the recent history between the two teams. Division rivalries tend to make all of the classic NFL betting strategies you have heard of as wasted rhetoric. Anything can happen in a divisional game, and you should look back at least three years or so to see who has been winning and where the teams have been winning. Divisional opponents can easily go on multiple season stretches of domination against one another, and at the same time can go years and years splitting the series every time. There's no rule for every game, it's about looking at the individual match up to see what the trend has been.
My Best NFL Betting Tip
There are also many NFL betting strategies that discuss how to pick the Over/Under for a particular game. Again, one of the best NFL betting tips I can give is to worry less about the "tried and true" rules and more about the teams themselves. You can quickly average out a team's point for and against to see if it beats the Over/Under, but you're just selling yourself short. You should be taking other things into consideration such as quality of opponents that resulted in those point totals, weather conditions, team match ups and so forth. You also have to consider player injuries and how the teams did in previous weeks to see if they may be complacent or hungry.
Each NFL game is inherently different and you can't generalize across the board for each and every one. The key is to take the general advice and put it together with research. If you understand this then your NFL betting experience will be on its top form I no time.
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