MLB Betting – Favorites Are A Big No!

Publicado  Huwebes, Mayo 10, 2012


Thousands of MLB bettors are asking the same question every year. Is there any way to win more in MLB betting? Is it possible to make a living with sports betting? My answer to that is a big Yes. By doing your homework, reading and testing MLB betting tips out in the internet and looking into odds given by experts and sportsbook, you can definitely increase your chances of winning in MLB. But before learning special techniques and MLB betting strategies, the first thing you should learn is not to make errors which shouldn't be made.

One of the deadliest mistakes MLB bettors often make is to bet on favorites. Well, favorites are favorites for a reason. Mainly because they do well in their field of sports. But favorites also means that many people are betting on them and if you are going to bet on favorites in Moneyline and you win, still the winning is not that high. Also according to statistics for the past 10 years, favorites have lost an average of about 90 units per season. Does that indicate blindly betting underdogs will win you money? Of course not. If you had bet straight underdogs you would have lost about 22 units averagely per season. Both were overall losers but obviously, underdogs lost less in MLB betting.

The general public likes to bet favorites, be it in baseball, basketball or any other sports betting. It is easy to know that a favorite team should win and is very likely to win but you must compare those chances to the money line. Favorites have about a 58% chance of winning but they can still lose money in the long run. One of the tips I often use is to pick small favorites that can win and find decent underdog values when you make a baseball bet.

Another negative part of choosing favorite is that if you lose a big favorite which, happens all the time - the pressure is on to win three in a row to negate your loss on the big favorite. In reality, big favorites do go down more often than you might think. You can win a lot with them with lower odds. But if you're unlucky losing a few series with them, it will take a pretty hard time for you to win your money back.
So how to find the winning underdogs?

When you're not sure who to bet, bet on the home underdogs. It is always good to consider the home underdog in baseball if they are playing a divisional rival. Most division games are tough and home dogs offer value in MLB betting. Another place to look in MLB betting is at the underdog when they are hot. If they are hitting the ball well recently and are still a dog they have some value. You can also look at particular lefty/righty matchups were a team does well and is still a dog in MLB betting.

MLB Betting and MLB Events in a Nutshell

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The Major League Baseball (MLB) regular season begins in April and runs through September, but the MLB betting season begins much earlier. Opening lines on which teams will win their league pennants and face off on the World Series come out in November, before the infield clay has even dried on the cleats of the current season winners.

Early odds tend to be loose, and they tighten up quickly once the season begins. If you wager on your MLB picks for the World Series in January, you could get 5:1 or 8:1 on a team that's offered at 2:1 by mid-April. You can hedge by spreading your early bets among three or four top MLB picks, and then balance your action later in the season as the strengths and weaknesses of the teams become clear. Florida is the early focus of baseball picks. That's where 16 of the 30 MLB clubs hold spring training. Preseason games present opportunities to get some MLB picks on the winners' board, beginning in late February and running through March, right up to Opening Day in April. Spring training records mean nothing, however, when 15 umpires call "play ball" for the MLB openers. Your attention and baseball picks should be focused entirely on pitching, as the hurlers have a significant advantage over batters in the first few weeks of the season. Look for low scoring games early on and choose your baseball picks accordingly. You can bet the runline on any game, predicting whether the combined number of runs scored by both teams will be over or under a certain total. Runlines are often expressed with half-points tacked on, to eliminate the possibility of ties.

With 16 teams in the National League and 14 in the American League, you have plenty of baseball picks to choose from each week. Initially, you may wish to concentrate your MLB picks on one or more of the three divisions in each league, East, Central and West. Four of the six divisions have five teams each, while the NL Central has six teams and the AL West features only four. As the season goes on and your experience grows, you can expand your MLB picks to include more of each league. To add a little spice to the season in May, interleague play takes place pitting NL teams against AL clubs, typically in cross-town battles such as Mets-Yankees and Cubs-White Sox. These games draw a lot of action from squares (recreational bettors). Unless you have some baseball picks you truly believe in, this is often a good time for sharps (professional handicappers) to pull back and watch from the bleachers. Save your bankroll for MLB picks in the bread and butter games of the summer.

The next milestone of the MLB betting season is the All-Star break in July. With so many pitching changes and so much unfamiliarity among opposing players, this can be a good time to lay low, too. Resume backing your MLB picks after the MVP has been announced. The risk of betting a lot on a single game isn't worth the security you get by having multiple baseball picks in action on any regular season day. Late in the season, streaks should be a focus of your MLB picks. Strong teams surge; weak ones give up and fall off. Betting against losers can be your strategy in September, as opposed to going for winning baseball picks.
Finally the MLB betting playoffs come, leading up to the World Series. By now your bankroll has grown, as has your insight into the surviving teams, and you can afford to wager more heavily on the few games remaining. In a best case scenario, your early baseball picks in January have arrived and are playing each other. You can't lose. Then it all begins again, with a new year of MLB betting ahead.

MLB Betting – A Tradition Like No Other

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Gambling is one of the oldest pastimes in the world. A lot of people from all walks of life, have, at one point in their lives, tried placing a good amount of money on something they believe will turn to their favor. Sports gambling is probably one of the most widely accepted betting practice. Today, it has become legal in a lot of areas, monitored online and through cable T.V., and even supported by well-known politicians, celebrities, and other personalities. One of the more famous choices of sports bettors are the MLB betting lines.

A lot of fans have their own personal pride for the teams they follow and almost every State has a representative that plays in the Major leagues. This adds to the interest and color of the game (the betting game that is). Fans add bets on the side; even some stadiums have their own betting booths. That's how serious some people can get with the money they intend to grow out of their teams' performances. You can safely say that on a game night, a baseball stadium is not only heavy with cheers for the teams and its players, it is also filled with high hopes that game predictions come true in favor of those who placed the most bets.

The bets are usually based on statistics on how the team is performing with in the season, sometimes even the status of the players are considered in the odds of the actual bet. So if you are thinking of taking the side of a team or a particular player, it pays to invest on time to study their statistics and what critics are saying about his playing condition and attitude. For MLB betting lines, the ranking of the team also contributes to the betting range and it would actually show a substantial equivalence assuming people would bet for the underdog. A lot of technicalities are applied in these betting lines, such as "Runs, Bats, Ins", home run percentage, and full line up. If a person placing a bet would consider these information from the statistics of the teams still playing with in the season, then he could accurately place bets on the team with a high winning rate.

Just like all other sports betting systems, bettors can choose from specific betting types. Parlays (several bets and bigger stakes), proposition bets (the conditions for winning are very specific), and teasers (bettor can lay a wager on different games for higher chances of winning). But the overall betting lines that fans usually choose are: the "money line" and the "run line". The former wins based on who won the game, while the latter wins based on the number of runs the winning team made.

Surely MLB betting is a tradition that everyone enjoys (and sometimes you can make really steady money doing MLB betting), rooting for your favorite team with a possibility of making money on the side is exciting and nerve wracking at the same time. For fans following the MLB betting lines, predictions, statistics and numbers play a big role in their bets. Combine this with team pride and lots of beer, and you have your weekend made.

MLB Betting Tip: Early Results are a No-No

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There are many MLB betting tips that are getting out in the internet world. Most of the times, we are already confused on to how many of them really works and what are the ones that work. So I’m going to share to you my favorite one. This works to me every MLB season and I hope this works well for you too.

I am talking about profiting from early happening in the MLB game. I have found over the years that those who pay too much attention to the first couple weeks of the season are often deep in the red by the middle of the year. On the other hand, those that find solid values based on the overreaction of both oddsmakers and the general public is likely to be successful. The betting public is extremely fickle, which can work to your advantage in a big way if you are willing to go against the public. At the same time, many are starting to believe in teams that have historically been bad, just because they have put a couple of solid weeks together.

So take advantage of this and do not fall on this bandwagon. Instead, study and support the odds with evidence first before you bet. Is the team really that good or are they some sort off a “one time big time only” There are lots of games to be win if you are against the public. So study the teams while they are clamoring to bet on that early favorite which is not sure to win.
To prove that my MLB betting is true, Here are some examples of underrated team at the start of the season and definitely made it to win them all! The cream rises to the top in the MLB Standings, but history definitely tells us it doesn’t always start that way.

1. Colorado Rockies (2007) – After 80 games the Rockies were just 38-42, and no one expected much of anything from this young team. All they did was go out and win 21 of their last 22 games in the regular season. The Rockies made it all the way to the World Series before falling to the Red Sox. If you were a Rockies backer in 2007, you certainly made a mint on the successes of an ultra-talented young baseball team.

2. Florida Marlins (2003) - After 38 games in 2003 the Marlins were 16-22, and most people wouldn’t have given them a chance to even sniff the playoffs. As it turns out, the Marlins not only made the playoffs, they won the World Series. This was a good example of how a team with depth at many positions can win it all against the odds.

3. Boston Braves (1914) - I’m going to go way back with this one, but only because it is probably the most impressive turnaround in baseball history. The Boston Braves were 26-40 in early July, but they went 70-19 in their last 89 games and won the National League pennant by 10.5 games. The Braves kept the momentum going in the World Series when they swept the heavily-favored Athletics to win it all.

Next time you read about how terrible or great a baseball team is based on the first couple weeks of the season, make sure you keep it in perspective not to listen and follow the bandwagon. Instead, do your own study and go against the public. Remember, the season is 162 games, which means there is more than enough time for the tides to change several times during the year. As a wise bettor, you should make it your goal to profit from early season overreactions!

Why Do MLB Betting

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Each year, more and more people are doing MLB betting. This is because, apart from its straight forward points spread, baseball can make a lot of money for smart gamblers who take the time to look behind the facts and place well-informed wagers. Once you start to do research on behind-the-scenes action that determines the MLB odds, you will begin to understand how bookmakers lay down the lines and sportsbooks declare the numbers.

When you bet on football, you will need to get used to a moneyline, which is different from the point spread used in football betting. Another popular form of wagering on MLB odds is via the runline, which is gaining ground in the baseball betting community. One thing you also need to remember is that bookies present the MLB odds based on their consideration of the betting public. Since they know betting enthusiasts will place their numbers on one team or another, they lay down the odds against these teams in such a way to get a good even number of bets for both sides.

Unlike other types of sports betting, you don't have to consider the number of points your team needs to win against the other, but only which teams wins the game itself. Baseball betting bookmakers lay down MLB odds in such a way that the wagers placed on the favored team are generally balanced by the bets plunked down for the underdog.

Start accumulating as much information as you can about the different competing teams and their players during the MLB baseball season. All this data will help you form a well-informed decision about which MLB odds to wager on.

To help you come up with a better prediction, always remember to study the probabilities carefully and determine the best lines on each game. There are a lot of factors that can determine the outcome of each, and you will need to consider them, as well. For instance, MLB odds are bound to be greatly influenced by a pitcher with a home run streak, or a key player who is injured during the season. It can also be based on the record of wins or a losing streak of a particular team.

Other sources that can supply you with equally valuable information are websites that offer experts' opinions, or a reliable sportsbook. Registering with a reputable sportsbook will give you an easier time placing your bets. With a secure account, you can deposit your bets and collect your winnings all in one site. These sportsbooks also come complete with the analysis of various experts who have spent years observing baseball games in the World Series. They know all there is to know about the different competing teams and their players, including hitting slumps, injuries, and hot pitchers. All this will help you pinpoint the best MLB odds and win as often as possible throughout the season.

To make a consistent on MLB betting and other sports, it is advisable to invest in a good handicapper or a reliable system that is a tested-and-proven source of winning odds is based on proven numbers, trends, and valuable experience.

MLB Betting Predictions – Does This Really Work?

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Every season of the MLB or what is more commonly known as the Major League Baseball, expect that there will be a lot of predictions coming in. These MLB betting predictions are in fact, very popular that there is now the website called MLB.com which comprises of a quintet of specialists standing by to put forward their opinions whenever needed, of course with regards to the Major League Baseball. Here are a few things you might want to know about how the predictions for MLB or the Major League Baseball are being made.


The website MLB.com is actually comprised of three sports columnists with the names of Hal Bodley Peter Gammons and Mike Bauman. There is also Jeff Nelson who is an analyst and at the same time, used to be a reliever in the Big League; and lastly, Jim Duquette who used to be a baseball sports executive. They are the ones to make the MLB predictions as to who will possibly win in every division.


As for the American League East, each one selected the Yankees to emerge as the division champion for the second time, except for Hal Bodley who opted to go for Boston instead. And in the same manner that Jeff Nelson selected the Yankees to get two consecutive wins in the World Series, Peter Gammons as well as Jim Duquette also opted for the Red Sox attacking all the way through the postseason. Really, making MLB predictions can truly be exciting. In fact, during the American League West, the Angels was selected to get their fourth win in a row in the division they are participating in. It was only Jeff Nelson who did not choose to go for the White Sox as he was rooting for Minnesota instead.


What is more, there are so much varying as well as similar opinions in the National League brought about by the panelists Gammons, Bauman, Bodley and Duquette choosing the Phillies, the Cardinals and the Rockies emerge as winners in the East, the Central and the West Leagues. Especially that there will definitely be always a different conclusion for every World Series game or rematch.


In addition, with the multitudes of varying opinions, the ultimately surprising MLB prediction is that of having a specific omission. This happens when there is no one among the five panelists of the MLB.com that chose Cardinals' Albert Pujols to be crowned as the NL MVP awardee. Also, Bodley, together with Bauman, have chosen Minnesota's Joe Mauer while Yankees' Mark Teixeira was voted by Duquette and Alex Rodriguez chosen by Jeff Nelson.


Clearly, any baseball fan that would make his own MLB predictions would more often than not, tend to be prejudiced. That is why any fan of any sport should make it a point that they are very much familiar with what is happening in their particular favorite sport. That way, you will be sure to make more realistic predictions that could even win you big earnings in the end.


If you want to make your MLB betting successful then you will have to do a lot of hard work and research for it. The best way is to look for the teams that perform really well when they play. You should always bet on better teams because they have less chances of losing. In addition to that you should know a little bit of history about the team and players as that will give you an idea of how you should place your bets. You can read the information from newspapers and other online documents that can show you how one baseball team fared against another.

MLB Betting Tips That Actually Works

Publicado  Miyerkules, Mayo 9, 2012


The Major League Baseball 2012 kicks off its regular season last month. And after more than a month, there had been a lot of upsets and favorite teams that lost but also some surprisingly aggressive teams that won. There had been some accident that happens already, like to the star of the New York Yankees. And some merging rookie stars to watch for. And things are getting more exciting! That is why people cant help if MLB betting is getting more and more popular every day.

MLB betting is my favorite sports to bet on. The most attractive aspect of betting on baseball is the sheer volume of opportunities the sport presents. There are 30 teams playing 162 games a season, so from now until late September, there will be a daily dose of matchups to choose from. Today I’m going to share to you some of the MLB betting tips that help me win a lot of bets. That’s right these are proven tips that actually work so read on.

Watch Out For Pitchers Who Will Start

A football team’s quarterback or a basketball team’s leading scorer can have a huge impact on the lines for a game, but there is no sport where one player has as much impact on the oddsmakers’ lines than the starting pitcher in baseball. MLB odds are not released until each team’s starter has been announced and most times the game will come off the board and all pre-existing bets cancelled if there is a last-minute substitution by either side. You should get in the habit of spending a good portion of your handicapping efforts on analyzing the pitching matchups in a particular game, as this is a great way to uncover value in not just the money line but in the total line as well. There is a wealth of information available on past performances, past head-to-head matchups (if applicable), and current form that can be used to help predict which starter has the best shot at outdueling his counterpart that day.

Study the Intangibles

Pitching will always be the most vital aspect in any baseball game, but there are certain intangibles that can also provide an edge in handicapping a particular contest. Ballpark dimensions can have an influence on an opposing road team’s hitting performance depending on the strengths and weaknesses of its lineup. A team’s recent schedule can have a huge impact on the outcome of its next game, especially in the first game of a new series when one team is playing at home on a day’s rest against a team that is on an extended road trip with no day’s rest. The home plate umpire can often dictate whether it will be a good day for the pitchers or a good one for the batters depending on the size of his strike zone. While a MLB strike zone is supposed to be as uniform as possible, each umpire uses his own interpretation of the actual dimensions to call balls and strikes. There is ample information available on all active umpires past called games that can provide a better understanding of his overall tendencies.

The Run Line’s Effect

Similar to other major sports, baseball matchups have a spread (which is referred to as a run line), a money line, and a total line. While the money line and total line work the same exact way as in football and basketball, there is a bit of a unique twist to the run line. In baseball, the run line (or spread) usually remains a constant 1.5 runs. The odds are tweaked through the use of a separate money line that reflects the 1.5 runs the favorite has to give up. The run line is a great MLB betting strategy to employ when you are extremely confident that the favorite is going to win straight up by two or more runs as demonstrated in the example above.

MLB Betting Tips From Experts Revealed!

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In any sports gambling it is always an unfair world for the novice bettors. They are the ones who are just beginning to bet and hoping to win some cash. Most of the novice bettors really don't know how to successfully make profitable wagers, they sometimes just place their wager on their favorite teams and worst they might just choose to bet on their birthday number if it’s applicable like in horse racing. If there are any beginners out there who are reading this article, then this is your lucky day. Because today, I will give out some MLB betting tips for you.

So recently I saw articles giving away tips and strategies for MLB betting, from the best sports handicapper in the industry and compiled the best of them in one article. These tips will surely help you make profitable wagers. Read on and see my own compilation of MLB betting tips from the experts. Not many top sports handicappers like to divulge their rules and tips to people so you better catch this opportunity!

Run Line bets on heavy favorites: Never wager on a money line favorite over -165 instead if you feel that strong about a team look at the Run Line -1.5. Run Line means a team has to win by two runs for you win the sports wager. By giving up the -1.5 you will turn a heavy favorite into around even money or better.

Moneyline Home Underdogs: Moneyline Wagers are the most common sports wager for MLB bettors. When analyzing your potential bets for a given day take extra special attention to home moneyline underdogs. Home field advantage is so important in baseball and even the worst MLB teams are usually around .500 at home.

MLB Totals: Most bettors fall in love with the over total in all sports. The last eight years the over has hit 46%, the under hit 48%, and pushed 6%. The average number of runs in a game the last eight years has been 9.20!! So before making an over bet really analyze the play.

Bullpens: Most novice MLB bettors don't analyze team bullpens nearly enough. Hardly any pitchers no matter how good they are go complete games now a days. So a bad bullpen or a bullpen that has been used many times in recent games can give up sports betting profits. If you really like the starting pitching matchup but don't like a bullpen then take advantage of the first 5 innings lines. The first 5 innings MLB wager is somewhat new but can be very profitable.

MLB betting profits can be hard to come by if you don’t do your homework and study. Luckily there are many things available in the internet that will help increase your winning. One of them is this article. So take our tips on the test and start getting money out of those experienced bettors today!!

3 Crucial MLB Betting Tips To Remember

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Everybody in the US is a fan of MLB and many people all over the world are getting hook to it too. If you are a fan of MLB, then you probably have bet on one of the games too. If not, you should! MLB betting may not be as popular as betting on NBA, NFL or horse races but it is definitely the most easiest sport to bet on and the most number of games you can bet on. There are countless profitable betting opportunities in every MLB baseball season.

Today, I will share to you, my three crucial MLB betting tips to remember to increase your chances of winning. These MLB betting tips will help you refine your selection process so you are getting better value for your money and winning more in the long run. Whether you are already betting on MLB or just a beginner I’m sure you will enjoy this article and learn a thing or two. So read on.
Tip #1: Stay away from heavy favorites.

Favorites are favorite to win for a reason. That is they are really good in their field and play well. But are favorites really going to win you huge money? The answers is No. As a generally rule, I don't bet on any MLB team that's around -160 or higher. The principle is a sound one. The more money you lay--without getting anything in return--the more you have to win to just break even. Let's look at an example using a heavy favorite of -200. You are laying $2 to win $1. Right away we can see that we must pick winners 66% of the time just to break even. This is ridiculous. Take the best team in baseball and look at their win percentage. It's generally around 60-62%. Sure, the team playing a heavy favorite is probably not that good, but baseball is a funny game. Rather than getting suckered in, look for other betting options or steer clear of heavy favorites.

Tip #2: If you really want to bet on a heavy favorite, do it on the run line.
The run line is baseball is a spread and money line combination. In this case, you will be laying 1.5 runs--so your team must win by 2 or more--but you will be knocking down the money laid. Many good teams will beat poor teams by two or more. By betting them on the run line, you can knock off significant money. Perhaps the team you were going to wager on that was over the mark set in tip number one is now down to -120.

Tip #3: Don't bet on road teams going for the sweep
Yes, road teams do sweep, but it's very hard. Looking over recent history, a home team only gets swept about 10% of the time. Good ones get swept even less. You could say that a secondary tip would be to bet on home teams trying to avoid the sweep. That's up to you. My main point is to simply walk away from games where you like the visitor, but that team is going for the sweep.

MLB betting is fun and exciting and can be a steady source of income if you already know the right ways to bet. So test these suggested tips today and see if they help you win. Hit me back some comment on what happened.

Types of MLB Betting That We Can Do

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There is a reason why even though playing and watching baseball is the favorite past time of people in the US, it’s still trailing behind NBA and NFL when it comes to sports gambling. Many people simply do not bet on Major League Baseball (MLB) games because they are not able to understand how the betting works. What they don’t know too is that MLB betting can be quite simple and this is the best sport to bet too because there are too many games in a season that you can bet on. Today let’s take it back from the start by explaining the different types of bets you can place in MLB.


Moneyline bets.
These are the simplest form of bets and you simply have to concern yourself with who is going to win and who is going to lose. You do not have to worry about any complications like spreads and so on. To understand the odds that are being quoted, just remember that the number that you read after the favorite will generally have a - sign while the number you read after the underdog will have a + sign. If the Boston Red Sox are playing the St Louis Cardinals, the odds will look something like this: Boston Red Sox -130, St Louis Cardinals +120. This means that the Red Sox are the favorites and you will need to bet $130 on them to win in order to get a payout of $100. Conversely, a bet of $100 on the Cardinals to win will give you a payout of $120. If you win the bet on the Cardinals, you will receive $120 plus your original bet amount of $100.


Run line.
This is the baseball equivalent of the football or basketball point spread and simply represents the difference in score between the two teams. Because baseball does not result in a large number of points unlike the other games, you will tend to find that most MLB lines or spreads of 1.5 runs. The favorite for the game will be depicted with a - sign in front while the underdog will have a + sign. If you remember the moneyline example, the odds look something like this:


Boston Red Sox -130                                                                     St Louis Cardinals +120.
With the addition of a run line, the odds would now look something like this:
Boston Red Sox -1.5 +140                                                            St Louis Cardinals +1.5 -160


If you believe that the Red Sox will win the game by more than two runs, you put a $100 bet on the run line. Your best friend believes in the Cardinals and puts a $160 bet on the run line. Let us say that the Red Sox win the game by five runs to two. Since the difference in the score was more than 1.5 runs, you will win $140 and of course get back your $100 bet as well. On the other hand, if the difference is less than 1.5 runs or the Cardinals win, your friend will win $100.


Betting on totals (under/over).
These are fairly straightforward bets where the odds makers estimate the number of runs that will be scored in the game. If you think that the total will be less, you bet the under and if you think the total will be more, you bet the over. Usually, there is half a run added on so that a tie is ruled out. The normal run line is in the range of 7.5 to 10 and depends on the circumstances.


Sportsbook offers the best value in baseball betting with Dime Lines on almost every MLB game. Win big and win more on your MLB bets all summer long. With live MLB betting odds to help you on your bet too. And that’s what makes us the only place to bet on MLB every season.