MLB Betting Tip: Early Results are a No-No

Publicado  Huwebes, Mayo 10, 2012


There are many MLB betting tips that are getting out in the internet world. Most of the times, we are already confused on to how many of them really works and what are the ones that work. So I’m going to share to you my favorite one. This works to me every MLB season and I hope this works well for you too.

I am talking about profiting from early happening in the MLB game. I have found over the years that those who pay too much attention to the first couple weeks of the season are often deep in the red by the middle of the year. On the other hand, those that find solid values based on the overreaction of both oddsmakers and the general public is likely to be successful. The betting public is extremely fickle, which can work to your advantage in a big way if you are willing to go against the public. At the same time, many are starting to believe in teams that have historically been bad, just because they have put a couple of solid weeks together.

So take advantage of this and do not fall on this bandwagon. Instead, study and support the odds with evidence first before you bet. Is the team really that good or are they some sort off a “one time big time only” There are lots of games to be win if you are against the public. So study the teams while they are clamoring to bet on that early favorite which is not sure to win.
To prove that my MLB betting is true, Here are some examples of underrated team at the start of the season and definitely made it to win them all! The cream rises to the top in the MLB Standings, but history definitely tells us it doesn’t always start that way.

1. Colorado Rockies (2007) – After 80 games the Rockies were just 38-42, and no one expected much of anything from this young team. All they did was go out and win 21 of their last 22 games in the regular season. The Rockies made it all the way to the World Series before falling to the Red Sox. If you were a Rockies backer in 2007, you certainly made a mint on the successes of an ultra-talented young baseball team.

2. Florida Marlins (2003) - After 38 games in 2003 the Marlins were 16-22, and most people wouldn’t have given them a chance to even sniff the playoffs. As it turns out, the Marlins not only made the playoffs, they won the World Series. This was a good example of how a team with depth at many positions can win it all against the odds.

3. Boston Braves (1914) - I’m going to go way back with this one, but only because it is probably the most impressive turnaround in baseball history. The Boston Braves were 26-40 in early July, but they went 70-19 in their last 89 games and won the National League pennant by 10.5 games. The Braves kept the momentum going in the World Series when they swept the heavily-favored Athletics to win it all.

Next time you read about how terrible or great a baseball team is based on the first couple weeks of the season, make sure you keep it in perspective not to listen and follow the bandwagon. Instead, do your own study and go against the public. Remember, the season is 162 games, which means there is more than enough time for the tides to change several times during the year. As a wise bettor, you should make it your goal to profit from early season overreactions!

0 (mga) komento: